Kris Abdelmessih joins Matt Zeigler on Notes on Notes to explore the Kelly Criterion, bet sizing, and why having favorable odds does not guarantee success. They discuss how probability, risk management, and a deeper understanding of math can improve decisions in investing and everyday life.

Joseph Moore joins Matt Zeigler on Notes on Notes to explore AI and the future of writing, from AI detection tools to the value of human creativity and original thought. Drawing on his essay "Human 100%," Joseph explains why artificial intelligence may imitate a writer's voice while the experiences, thinking, and feelings behind meaningful writing remain essential.

When an AI detector stamps your work "Human 100%," it should feel like a win. Joseph Moore isn't quite buying it. If we grade writing by its output, we've already lost track of what writing is actually for - and a brief detour through 19th-century horse manure makes the point better than any AI ever could.

When Stan Druckenmiller's AI-written op-ed landed in the Wall Street Journal, it nearly pushed Adam Butler to stop publishing altogether. Ben Hunt called an Office Hours - and the (virtual) room filled up fast. What they found, once they sat down together, was a question bigger than how we should be using any single tool. What covenant does a writer make with their own thinking, and what does it cost to outsource it?