Notes on Notes: After this post you will be sizing bets in your head

Kris Abdelmessih

September 24, 2026·AI

Kris Abdelmessih joins Matt Zeigler on Notes on Notes to explore the Kelly Criterion, bet sizing, and why having favorable odds does not guarantee success. They discuss how probability, risk management, and a deeper understanding of math can improve decisions in investing and everyday life.


Read the original note by Kris Abdelmessih here on Panoptica:

After this post you will be sizing bets in your head

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